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Calculating the risk
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Has Achieved Nirvana
Picture of wtg
posted
I love the way this guy thinks....

quote:
I’m a 64-year-old vaxxed doctor. Here’s how I calculate my covid risk at parties.


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news...t-parties/ar-AAU2h3S


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We are all visitors to this time, this place. We are just passing through. Our purpose here is to observe, to learn, to grow, to love… and then we return home. - Australian Aboriginal proverb

Bazootiehead-in-training



 
Posts: 38014 | Location: Somewhere in the middle | Registered: 19 January 2010Reply With QuoteReport This Post
(self-titled) semi-posting lurker
Minor Deity
Picture of ShiroKuro
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The guy who wrote the article you linked shared a specific set of circumstances, but most of us are in situations with many more variables, and we have less information about other people's vax history etc.

My uni just removed its mask requirement. Masks no longer required in classrooms, but "encouraged" -- whatever that means.

They also had been requiring us to test weekly but they dropped it down to once every two weeks. I wish they wouldn't have made both of these changes at once. Frowner

Public health specialists are not in agreement about whether it's premature to get rid of masks, so that leaves the rest of us scrambling to figure out what to do.

I'm frustrated because I don't think my uni should have changed both of these things at once.


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My piano recordings at Box.Net: https://app.box.com/s/j4rgyhn72uvluemg1m6u

 
Posts: 18614 | Location: not in Japan any more | Registered: 20 April 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Has Achieved Nirvana
Picture of wtg
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by ShiroKuro:
The guy who wrote the article you linked shared a specific set of circumstances, but most of us are in situations with many more variables, and we have less information about other people's vax history etc.



Clearly there's no how-to guide for navigating COVID that's applicable to everyone. Life is fraught with uncertainty.

I just thought his attempt to bring some data to the process was interesting.


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We are all visitors to this time, this place. We are just passing through. Our purpose here is to observe, to learn, to grow, to love… and then we return home. - Australian Aboriginal proverb

Bazootiehead-in-training



 
Posts: 38014 | Location: Somewhere in the middle | Registered: 19 January 2010Reply With QuoteReport This Post
(self-titled) semi-posting lurker
Minor Deity
Picture of ShiroKuro
posted Hide Post
quote:
Clearly there's no how-to guide for navigating COVID that's applicable to everyone


I feel like there's no how-to guide that's applicable for anyone. There's just no guide, and we are all flying blind, even after all this time. I read the article hoping to find something that I could use, but there's nothing there to guide me. Not from him or in anything else I'm reading.

We make our best guess and just have to keep wading through the mud.

I'm just exhausted, from all the guessing and all the wading.


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My piano recordings at Box.Net: https://app.box.com/s/j4rgyhn72uvluemg1m6u

 
Posts: 18614 | Location: not in Japan any more | Registered: 20 April 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Has Achieved Nirvana
Picture of wtg
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by ShiroKuro:

I feel like there's no how-to guide that's applicable for anyone. There's just no guide, and we are all flying blind, even after all this time.


Welcome to life! Sit back and enjoy the ride.....

crazypilot


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We are all visitors to this time, this place. We are just passing through. Our purpose here is to observe, to learn, to grow, to love… and then we return home. - Australian Aboriginal proverb

Bazootiehead-in-training



 
Posts: 38014 | Location: Somewhere in the middle | Registered: 19 January 2010Reply With QuoteReport This Post
(self-titled) semi-posting lurker
Minor Deity
Picture of ShiroKuro
posted Hide Post
quote:
Welcome to life! Sit back and enjoy the ride.....


Frowner


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My piano recordings at Box.Net: https://app.box.com/s/j4rgyhn72uvluemg1m6u

 
Posts: 18614 | Location: not in Japan any more | Registered: 20 April 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Has Achieved Nirvana
Picture of QuirtEvans
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Everyone has different risk tolerances, and this analysis is useful but not a Bible.

To me, available ICU beds is an important number. Heaven forbid someone were to get seriously ill, is there room at the hospital?

The other problem is that hospitals aren't exactly safe right now:

https://www.politico.com/news/...pitals-data-00010283
 
Posts: 45778 | Registered: 20 April 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Minor Deity
Picture of Mikhailoh
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We just had this discussion. Some friends invited us over on the 23rd. A friend whose husband died last fall would be there and we'd love to see her. MFR REALLY wanted to go. But a couple days later we are going to spend a week with my family in the keys.

I disagreed with going because this couple's dining area is pretty cramped, and she is a public school teacher. We'd be in very close quarters for several hours. I did not think it fair to my family to take that risk. So we agreed to make a date with them for after we got back.

It's shame we have to parse these things so carefully, but here we are.


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"A mob is a place where people go to get away from their conscience" Atticus Finch

 
Posts: 13586 | Registered: 20 April 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
knitterati
Beatification Candidate
Picture of AdagioM
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I’m teaching at a fiber festival this weekend. Vax and mask required to be here, teachers, students, vendors.

My kids (who are pretty locked down) were supposed to come for dinner last weekend. They haven’t been in our house since omicron started. I decided to have them wait until after my festival; I had too many commitments here to blow it beforehand.

So far, so good this weekend. So great to be in the classroom.


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http://pdxknitterati.com

 
Posts: 9812 | Location: Oregon | Registered: 06 June 2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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