Please be true, please be true, please be true.

Although I take Nate Silver's point that state-by-state polling this far out has very litle predictive value.

https://www.axios.com/trump-ap...d6-14c1f97bf62c.html

Not enough though.

At first approximation this is a three state race. PA, OH, and MI. Only in MI is he under water.

Ohio is starting to look grim. It's getting redder.

But you might not be putting enough weight on Wisconsin and Iowa. Even Arizona looks good at the moment.

quote:

Originally posted by jon-nyc:
Not enough though.

At first approximation this is a three state race. PA, OH, and MI. Only in MI is he under water.

Thank you Debbie Downer.

Seriously, I do wonder if we're seeing lack of clarity on the Dem side as much as support for Trump. If the Dems don't go bananas and nominate someone who wants to spend us into oblivion (laughable given the current incumbent), I think we might see a big switch once a candidate shakes out (please let it not be Biden or Bernie).

Can you imagine a debate between Biden and Trump? It would be like watching a dementia version of Bizarro-land. Get your "gaffes" here!

Unless she self-destructs Warren will be the nominee. VP is too far out yet.

Warren will lose.

But she is the best we've got, so she should get her shot.

So disappointed in Kamala and Bullock (who shot himself in the foot by getting in so late).

Carville was right. It’s the economy. To his credit, Trump realizes that, which is why he’s going so bananas on Powell. He doesn’t care about inflation as long as the economy gets its shot of amphetamines and carries him through the election.