From Trevor Bedford. Read the whole thread.


https://twitter.com/trvrb/stat...395226541518849?s=21

When we have the second wave, Bunker Baby is going to say everything was under control until the protestors started up. He’s going to use the protests as a free pass for the rising death rate.

I don’t know why no one is highlighting this.

People are.

But I’m not sure how that will buy him more than a news cycle or two, because a week after the story will be about his lack of support for taking steps to halt a second wave.

Not sure how to quantify severity yet, but what are the odds of having a “second wave”?

I view it as near certainty, barring some amazing breakthrough in treatment.

Yea, the public's patience has worn thin. The virus hasn't changed. Recipe for disaster.

We could get a bit of a summer reprieve; transmission in outdoor spaces might not be as easy as being indoors.

I think we'll see things get worse as we head into fall and winter and indoor activities increase.

Just in time and just bad enough to get the election cancelled/postponed while Trump props up the Market (which rises on the strength of knowing he'll do this)?

Good entree for imposition of Martial Art to control the increased riots in the country in response to: the COVID deaths, lack of preparation becoming more apparent, suffering because of unemployed workers, and chaos from insoluble conflict between lack of safety net for the above (while there's lack of tolerance for either another lockdown OR not keeping employers able to keep possible industries churning, along with their workers).

Any outcome leaving the country (even more) in shambles either for Biden to somehow cope with (being given the blame)* or for Trump to crank up the money presses to (seem to) pay.

Which will punish everyone out of the Market (poor/dependent on fixed income) when massive inflation finally strikes. (Note, this will effectively lower the Deficit and our overseas indebtedness. Trump's personal indebtedness significantly too, of course.)

*Remembering Obama's hair whitening basically overnight after he was presented with the gruesome facts of the real state of the Economy. (As if Biden had enough hair to whiten, poor geezer, left with his finger in the dike!)

("What me care?")