Has Achieved Nirvana
| Nate, despite Steve’s disdain, now is acknowledging a rising chance of a contested convention. He’s putting it at 33%. I think it might be higher, particularly if Biden fades away quickly.
Delegates from last night, which is what matters: Bernie 9, Pete 9, Amy 6. If the convention looks like that overall, it’ll get very interesting.
Side note: there appears to be a reasonably high correlation between pundits I think are smart and worth listening to and those Steve thinks are worthless and should go away, |
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| Oh, and based on recent statements, I wouldn’t be shocked if, when Warren drops out, she throws her support to Klobuchar. (Whose speech last night was great and worth listening to. “I’m Amy Klobuchar, and I’m going to beat Donald Trump!”) |
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| That would be the first thing she ever did as a candidate that I would have respect for. Lol
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If you think looting is bad wait until I tell you about civil forfeiture.
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| She's made a number of positive comments about Amy recently, including a "girl power" kind of remark last night. |
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| Fitting. LOL. |
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| quote: Originally posted by QuirtEvans:
Nate, despite Steve’s disdain, now is acknowledging a rising chance of a contested convention. He’s putting it at 33%.
Not surprising. Pundits love the whole horse race excitement thing.
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Life is short. Play with your dog.
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| | | Posts: 35084 | Location: Hooterville, OH | Registered: 23 April 2005 | 
IP
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| quote: Originally posted by QuirtEvans:
Side note: there appears to be a reasonably high correlation between pundits I think are smart and worth listening to and those Steve thinks are worthless and should go away,
Believe as you like, but if Nate says Klobuchar will win 40 states I recommend you go out and vote anyway, just in case he's making stuff up. Like he did last time.
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Life is short. Play with your dog.
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| | | Posts: 35084 | Location: Hooterville, OH | Registered: 23 April 2005 |
IP
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| There is a difference between making stuff up and being wrong.
Polling is an inexact science, like weather forecasting. (And like most kinds of extrapolation.) I'm quite sure that, despite the imprecision, you check the weather forecast sometimes, even knowing that weather forecasters sometimes get it horribly wrong. |
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| Also in 2016 there was a lot of preference falsification due to the perceived stigma of being a trump voter. He outperformed his polls.
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If you think looting is bad wait until I tell you about civil forfeiture.
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Minor Deity
| He will this year too. Wait and see.
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"A mob is a place where people go to get away from their conscience" Atticus Finch
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| I can imagine that
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If you think looting is bad wait until I tell you about civil forfeiture.
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Has Achieved Nirvana
| Imagine if a month ago someone told you Amy Klobuchar would win more votes in NH than Warren and Biden combined.
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If you think looting is bad wait until I tell you about civil forfeiture.
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Never Offline
| quote: Originally posted by jon-nyc:
Also in 2016 there was a lot of preference falsification due to the perceived stigma of being a trump voter. He outperformed his polls.
Interesting choice of words. Why "perceived stigma" and not just "stigma"? |
| | | Posts: 900 | Location: Bay Area of CA | Registered: 21 April 2005 |
IP
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