https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2023/0...-intl-hnk/index.html

2022 statistics shows 2:1 death to birth ratio.

Thanks for posting this!

Will probably be citing this in an up coming talk:

Japan’s “fertility rate of 1.3 is far below the rate of 2.1 required to maintain a stable population, in the absence of immigration.”

This is now common across much of eastern Asia. Korea and China face the same demographic cliff. Once things stabilize at a much lower population these nations may be in a better place, but the transition will be a big political/economic strain. This is especially true in China which will see the collapse of its working age population long before the average person in China has a western living standard. This could also lead China into military adventurism as a way to consolidate politics around unifying nationalism rather than have a divisive conversation about the failure of its policies and political structure.

The locus of world population growth has shifted to Africa.