well-temperedforum.groupee.net
Scientific analysis of the Nevada Democratic caucus’s early vote turnout.

This topic can be found at:
https://well-temperedforum.groupee.net/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/9130004433/m/6493958397

20 February 2020, 09:24 PM
kluurs
Scientific analysis of the Nevada Democratic caucus’s early vote turnout.
quote:
Originally posted by Doug:
Damn, there sure were a sh*tload of people in line today…

(There are 15 early voting locations in my county, and you can vote any one of four days. I got through the line in about two hours, but the line as I was leaving the building was about twice as long. I heard that lineson the first day were 3 1/2 to 4 hours long)


Yeah, but aren't you used to this by now? Being a California celebrity showing up at hick places, there's naturally going to be a crowd that will show up. Hey, being a celebrity may have its privileges but there's a price. Next time you and Paul McCartney get together, I'm sure you two can commiserate.
20 February 2020, 11:29 PM
Daniel
Apparently there are a lot of very good reasons for ending caucuses. I listened to a few videos of Stacy Abrams talking about this last night.
21 February 2020, 12:42 PM
Mikhailoh
I don't think there is any way he is ever going to get a majority nor do I think the party will let him take the nom with a minority.

I think Trump would crush him handily, but there is always the possibility he would win. That I do not wish to see. I would hope for a more centrist candidate that would have a better chance to win and would be a better president than Bernie.


--------------------------------
"A mob is a place where people go to get away from their conscience" Atticus Finch

22 February 2020, 02:45 AM
Daniel
Well, Bernie won Nevada.

It's yesterday's news.

He, Elizabeth Warren, the "centrists," and Bloomberg will fight it out.

That's just the way our nominating systems work. They're not going to change now.
22 February 2020, 07:32 AM
Axtremus
quote:
Originally posted by Mikhailoh:
I would hope for a more centrist candidate that would have a better chance to win and would be a better president than Bernie.
Her name is Hillary Rodham Clinton. You had your chance to vote for her.


--------------------------------
www.PianoRecital.org -- my piano recordings -- China Tune album

22 February 2020, 10:59 AM
Mikhailoh
That may be your definition of Clinton. I do not see it that way, but thanks for the snark anyway.


--------------------------------
"A mob is a place where people go to get away from their conscience" Atticus Finch

22 February 2020, 11:24 AM
Piano*Dad
quote:
Originally posted by Daniel:
Well, Bernie won Nevada.

It's yesterday's news.


Well, since the voting is taking place today, you must be clairvoyant ... Big Grin

Yes, Bernie is ahead in the polls in Nevada, but perhaps we should wait till tonight to coronate him King of Las Vegas.
22 February 2020, 11:29 AM
Nina
Here's my amateur's take on what's going on right now.

There are 2 "progressive" candidates, Sanders and Warren.

There are 4 viable-ish "centrist" candidates, Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Biden and Bloomberg (though if you wanted to say Bloomberg was far right, I wouldn't argue)

The party is split between progressives and centrists--not 50-50, but both have large groups.

So you divide the progressive vote between 2 people. You divide the centrist vote between 3-4 people. Voila! The progressive guy will prevail.

Some of these people need to get off the stage.

I also am curious to see how much of a bounce Warren may receive based on her debate earlier this week.
22 February 2020, 11:35 AM
Piano*Dad
You say that Warren is progressive. But I haven't seen much evidence that her supporters would flock en masse to Bernie if she dropped out.
22 February 2020, 12:02 PM
Daniel
Why don't Republicans have a "centrist" test?

On the contrary, the 'litmus' test for Republicans seems to be how far right one can be.

I'm not talking about the two parties in the past. I mean now.

Anyone?
22 February 2020, 12:05 PM
Daniel
quote:
Originally posted by Piano*Dad:
quote:
Originally posted by Daniel:
Well, Bernie won Nevada.

It's yesterday's news.


Well, since the voting is taking place today, you must be clairvoyant ... Big Grin

Yes, Bernie is ahead in the polls in Nevada, but perhaps we should wait till tonight to coronate him King of Las Vegas.


You got me!

Still, I doubt you'd wager 50 cents on it... Big Grin
22 February 2020, 12:14 PM
Daniel
quote:
Originally posted by Piano*Dad:
You say that Warren is progressive. But I haven't seen much evidence that her supporters would flock en masse to Bernie if she dropped out.


I don't see Warren as a progressive. But I'm not one of Bernie's followers and can't prognosticate about what they might do if she dropped out. Wink
22 February 2020, 12:27 PM
piqué
The progressives I know say they will only vote Sanders or Warren. Some of the Warren supporters are more rabid than the Sanders supporters. Their big agenda is to elect a woman.


--------------------------------
fear is the thief of dreams

22 February 2020, 12:56 PM
Piano*Dad
Which would imply a shift to centrist Klobuchar, who has been making nice with Warren.